Will Home Prices Fall This Year? Here’s What Experts Say

Many people are wondering: will home prices fall this year? Whether you’re a potential homebuyer, seller, or both, the answer to this question matters to you. Let’s break down what’s happening with home prices, where experts say they’re headed, and how this impacts your homeownership goals.

What’s Happening with Home Prices?

Home prices have seen 121 consecutive months of year-over-year increases. CoreLogic says:

Price appreciation averaged 15% for the full year of 2021, up from the 2020 full year average of 6%.”

So why are prices climbing so much? It’s because there are more buyers than homes for sale in the Chicagoland area and surrounding suburbs. This imbalance is expected to maintain upward pressure on home prices because homes for sale are a hot commodity in today’s low-inventory housing market.

Where Do Experts Say Prices Will Go From Here?

Experts say the housing market isn’t set up for a price decline due to that ongoing imbalance between supply and demand. In the latest home price forecasts for 2022, they’re calling for an ongoing appreciation throughout the year (see graph below):

home price forecasts for 2022 - KM Realty Group LLC, Chicago

While the experts are forecasting more moderate price appreciation, the 2022 projections show price gains will remain strong throughout this year. First American explains it like this:

While house price growth is expected to moderate from the rapid pace of 2021, strong home buyer demand against a backdrop of historically tight inventory of homes for sale will likely keep appreciation positive in the coming year.”

What Does That Mean for You?

The biggest takeaway is that none of the experts are projecting depreciation. Suppose you’re a homeowner considering selling your home in Chicago, Illinois, and nearby areas.

In that case, the higher price appreciation over the last two years has been great for your home’s value, but it’s also something you should factor in when planning your next steps.

If you also buy a home after selling your current house, you shouldn’t wait for prices to fall. Waiting will only cost you more in the long run because climbing mortgage rates and rising home prices will impact your next home purchase.

Freddie Mac says:

“If you’re thinking about waiting until next year and that maybe rates are higher, but you’ll get a deal on prices – well that’s risky. It may be more advantageous to purchase this year relative to waiting until 2023 at this time.”

Bottom Line.

If you’re considering selling to move up, you shouldn’t wait for prices to fall. Experts say prices will continue to appreciate this year. If you’re ready, buying your next home before prices climb further may make the most financial sense.

Let’s connect with real estate experts in Chicago at KM Realty Group LLC to begin selling your current home and looking for your next one before prices rise higher.