If you’re following today’s housing market, you know two of the top issues consumers face are inflation and mortgage rates. Let’s guide our focus and take a look at each one.
Inflation and the Housing Market
This year, inflation reached a high not seen in forty years. For the average consumer, this probably affected their spending at the gas pump and the grocery store, and it may have even impacted their ability to save money to buy a home.
While the Federal Reserve is working hard to lower inflation, the August data shows the inflation rate was still higher than expected. This news impacted the stock market and fueled conversations about a recession. It also influenced the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the Federal Funds Rate last week. As Bankrate says:
“. . . the Fed has raised rates again, announcing yet another three-quarter-point hike on September 21 . . . The hikes are designed to cool an economy that has been on fire. . .”
While their actions don’t directly dictate what happens with mortgage rates, their decisions have contributed to the intentional cooldown in the housing market. A recent article from Fortune explains:
“As the Federal Reserve moved into inflation-fighting mode, financial markets quickly put upward pressure on mortgage rates. Those elevated mortgage rates . . . coupled with sky-high home prices, threw cold water onto the housing boom.”
The Impact on Rising Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have fluctuated over the past few months in light of growing economic pressures. Most recently, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, according to Freddie Mac, ticked above 6% for the first time in well over a decade (see graph below):
This year’s mortgage rate increases are the big reason buyer demand has pulled back in recent months. As rates (and home prices) rose, so did the home cost. That pushed affordability and priced some buyers out of the market, so home sales slowed, and the inventory of homes for sale grew.
Where Experts Say Rates and Inflation Will Go From Here
Both of these factors will continue to impact the housing market. A recent article from CNET puts the relationship between inflation and mortgage rates in simple terms:
“As a general rule, when inflation is low, mortgage rates tend to be lower. When inflation is high, rates tend to be higher.”
Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, has this to say about where rates may go from here:
“Mortgage rates remained volatile due to the tug of war between inflationary pressures and a clear slowdown in economic growth. The high uncertainty surrounding inflation and other factors will likely cause rates to remain variable, . . .”
While there’s no way to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here, there is something you can do to stay informed, and that connects with a trusted real estate advisor. They keep their pulse on what’s happening today and help you understand what the experts are projecting. They can provide you with the best advice possible.
Bottom Line
Rising inflation and higher mortgage rates have had a clear impact on housing. For expert insights on the latest trends in the housing market and what they mean for you, let’s connect with real estate experts in Chicago, Illinois, at KM Realty Group LLC.
